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Beyond oil: options for clean fuel production

October 3, 2017 by Schalk Cloete 32 Comments

Beyond oil: options for clean fuel production

Several options exist for clean fuel production in the long-term future, writes Schalk Cloete in the third and last part of a series on the future of the internal combustion engine. Next-gen biofuels have the potential to approach current oil prices at a low environmental cost. Hydrogen can be produced economically from excess wind/solar power, nuclear heat or fossil fuels with CCS. Ammonia and hydrocarbon synfuels from clean hydrogen can be … [Read more...]

Filed Under: *, Oil, Gas & Coal, Transport and energy Tagged With: biofuels, electric cars, hydrogen, oil, sustainable mobility, transport

The future for gas guzzlers lies in hybridization

September 22, 2017 by Schalk Cloete 45 Comments

The future for gas guzzlers lies in hybridization

The car of the future will be a hybrid, writes independent researcher Schalk Cloete in the second part of a short series in which he compares costs and performance of various drivetrains. According to Cloete, improvements and cost reductions in electric motors and batteries will, ironically, help the internal combustion engine (ICE) through hybridization. These cost reductions combined with substantial engine downsizing can make hybrid … [Read more...]

Filed Under: *, Energy, Oil, Gas & Coal, Transport and energy Tagged With: electric cars, energy transition, financing, oil, sustainable mobility, transport

Why the electric car hype is overblown

September 15, 2017 by Schalk Cloete 82 Comments

Why the electric car hype is overblown

Electric cars offer no clear fuel cost savings relative to efficient internal combustion engine (ICE) options, writes independent researcher Schalk Cloete. CO2 and tailpipe emission benefits are also insignificant relative to efficient ICEs. As a result, notes Cloete, ICE vehicles will remain highly competitive with battery electric vehicles (BEVs). … [Read more...]

Filed Under: *, Energy, Renewables, Transport and energy Tagged With: electric cars, energy transition, financing, renewables, sustainable mobility, transport

A reality check on renewable energy potential

September 1, 2016 by Schalk Cloete 15 Comments

A reality check on renewable energy potential

On a global level, the potential for renewable energy is more than sufficient, writes researcher Schalk Cloete. However, on a regional level, this is not the case, especially in developing Asia and Africa. Renewable energy technology forcing in these regions can have serious socio-economic consequences. … [Read more...]

Filed Under: *, Climate policy, Energy, Renewables Tagged With: biofuels, climate change, diversification, energy security, energy trade, energy transition, infrastructure, renewables, solar power, wind power

Can battery electrics disrupt the internal combustion engine? Part 2: “kind-of”

April 20, 2016 by Schalk Cloete 12 Comments

Can battery electrics disrupt the internal combustion engine? Part 2: “kind-of”

Battery electric cars do not meet the basic criteria for disruptive innovation, Schalk Cloete argued in part 1 of this two-part series. Small electric vehicles (SEVs), on the other hand, do have disruptive potential, he writes. Our urbanizing world with its rapidly expanding middle class and increasing resource constraints will reinforce this trend. Thus, he concludes, internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles may lose substantial market share to … [Read more...]

Filed Under: *, Energy, Energy Outlooks, Renewables, Transport and energy Tagged With: electric cars, electricity market, energy transition, energy2030, renewables, sustainable mobility, transport

Can battery electrics disrupt the internal combustion engine? Part 1: “No”

April 13, 2016 by Schalk Cloete 54 Comments

Can battery electrics disrupt the internal combustion engine? Part 1: “No”

Battery electric vehicles (BEVs) will do well to take more than 10% of global light duty vehicle market share by mid-century, writes research scientist Schalk Cloete. This is because BEVs with the large battery pack needed for broad consumer acceptance will remain more expensive than internal combustion engine (ICE) cars. According to Cloete, this price premium is unlikely to be accepted by the mass market even under optimistic future BEV … [Read more...]

Filed Under: *, Energy, Energy Outlooks, Renewables, Transport and energy Tagged With: climate change, electric cars, electricity market, energy transition, energy2030, oil, sustainable mobility, transport

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