Petroleum geologist Arthur Berman argues that itâs foolish to believe the US could become an energy exporter. âThe US will never be self-sufficient in oilâ, he writes in an article for Oilprice.com. âExporting crude oil and natural gas from the United States are among the dumbest energy ideas of all time.â … [Read more...]
Oil price decline: no room for conspirators
Some observers claim the US and Saudi Arabia have made a secret deal to bring down oil prices. They are supposed to be doing this in particular to hurt Iran and Russia. But Friedbert PflĂźger, Director of the European Centre for Energy and Resource Security (EUCERS), Kingâs College London, finds their arguments unconvincing. The oil market is too big to be manipulated by conspirators. … [Read more...]
Historic moment: Saudi Arabia sees End of Oil Age coming and opens valves on the carbon bubble
Most analysts believe Saudi Arabia refuses to cut production because it wants to shake out its higher-cost competitors or because it wants to punish Iran and Russia. There may be some truth in those theories, writes Elias Hinckley, strategic advisor and head of the energy practice with international law firm Sullivan and Worcester, but they miss the deeper motivation of the Saudis. Saudi Arabia, he says, sees the end of the Oil Age on the horizon … [Read more...]
Why cheap oil will not wreck the prospects for renewable energy â this time around
When oil prices collapsed in the 1980s, most large renewable energy programs were dismantled. But that wonât happen this time, writes John Mathews, Professor of Strategic Management at Macquarie University's Graduate School of Management in Sydney, and author of a brand new book âThe Greening of Capitalismâ. The reason is that China has made a strategic commitment to renewables. Donât forget, Mathews writes: coal prices have also been falling, … [Read more...]
Christoph Frei, World Energy Council: âThe real hope for âParisâ is to see a connected carbon market started by the big players”
On 20 January, the World Energy Council (WEC) will publish its World Energy Issues Monitor â an annual survey of over 1,000 energy leaders in over 80 countries. WECâs Secretary-General Christoph Frei notes the biggest changes compared to last year are that energy leaders have become more concerned with security of supply (Russia) and cyber-security. Price volatility and climate framework remain at the top of the worries list. In an in-depth … [Read more...]
Measuring the CO2 impact of big infrastructure projects: the case of Keystone XL
Major energy infrastructure projects will be more and more put to a climate test. In the US, for example, draft environmental legislation adopted last year stipulates that climate analysis of federal projects should include âdownstreamâ emissions. In future it will not be so easy for companies to say âif we donât do it, somebody else willâ. But how do you measure indirect climate effects? The Stockholm Environment Institute is one place where … [Read more...]
The implications of $50-a-barrel oil for the worldâs energy mix
Oil prices keep sliding, sending economic shockwaves around the world. Analysts are scrambling to try and understand what it means for the world's future energy mix and efforts to cut emissions. But the relationship between oil prices and energy investments is complex, writes Mat Hope for The Carbon Brief. Much depends on how low the price goes as, beyond a certain point, lots of projects are no longer economically viable. … [Read more...]
Scientists: large fossil reserves must stay in ground
Christophe McGlade and Paul Ekins of the Institute for Sustainable Resources at University College London have published a paper in the scientific journal Nature presenting their research on "the carbon bubble" aka as "stranded assets". They come to alarming conclusions for fossil fuel producers: no new exploration should be undertaken anymore if climate change is to be contained. … [Read more...]
What is the ideal oil price for the energy transition?
Does the energy transition benefit from low or high oil prices? Proponents of a swift energy transition have debated this question for a long time. Most believe high oil prices are beneficial, because they make alternatives more competitive. But high oil prices also lead to huge profits for fossil fuel businesses, while low prices make the more costly (and often dirtiest) projects unprofitable. According to Rick Bosman and Derk Loorbach of the … [Read more...]
Why oil price crash is good news for climate, and clean energy
According to analysts from UK investment bank HSBC, the low oil price is on balance good for the climate. French private investment firm Kepler Chevreux goes a step further and sees the oil price collapse as one of a number of signals indicating a global energy transition is underway. "The debate over fossil fuels now touches not only on the climate, but on global financial stability." Giles Parkinson of Reneweconomy.com.au has the story. … [Read more...]
2015: an energy year in which everything gets connected?
It is often said that there are major trade-offs between energy security, equity and sustainability. But what if this is a misconception? Energy Post editor Karel Beckman argues that by creating a new sustainable energy system we can at the same time advance energy security and reduce energy poverty. … [Read more...]
EU issues work plan for 2015 â with pared down priorities
The number one priority for Team Juncker is a âŹ315-billion investment plan for Europe. Second, is âbetter regulationâ. First Vice-President Frans Timmermans presented the European Commissionâs 2015 work programme to MEPs in Strasbourg on 16 December. Energy Post looks at the new initiatives, scrapped initiatives and those that hang in the balance for energy and climate policy. … [Read more...]
How the oil price collapse is hastening the demise of Norwayâs oil industry
The drop in global oil prices is hastening the decline of Norwayâs already slowly declining oil industry as new oil projects are being scrapped and workers are laid off. Norway may need to begin building a post-oil economy sooner than it thought, writes Nick Cunningham of Oilprice.com. … [Read more...]
Maria van der Hoeven, IEA: Use cheap oil to put a price on carbon
With the drop in oil prices "delivering a shot of economic stimulus to consumers around the world", policymakers have a "once-in-a-generation" chance to take actions to cut our reliance on fossil fuels, writes Maria van der Hoeven, Executive Director of the International Energy Agency (IEA). She urges policymakers in developed countries to use the drop in oil prices to put a price on carbon. … [Read more...]
Could falling oil prices spark a financial crisis?
To what extent are financial investors exposed to the oil sector? And what will happen on the financial markets if oil stocks and oil companies go under on a large scale? We are far from a crisis yet, writes Nick Cunningham of Oilprice.com. But, he adds, falling oil prices are not just a problem for oil companies. … [Read more...]
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