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New AI model predicts 1.5C temperature rise is likely in 2030s even if emissions decline

February 24, 2023 by Josie Garthwaite

A new artificial intelligence model is predicting that 2C warming is likely to occur and sooner than expected, even if current low-emissions strategies are successful, explains Josie Garthwaite at Stanford University. The Stanford-developed AI uses “neural network” learning from vast quantities of past data, predicting that the 1.5C threshold is likely to be crossed in the next 10 to 15 years. That’s regardless of how much greenhouse gas … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Energy, Policies Tagged With: AI, COP27, decarbonisation, emissions, IPCC, netzero, Paris2015, warming, weather

The U.S. needs a plan to transfer electricity long distance between regions, like Europe and China

February 9, 2023 by Mathias Einberger

In the U.S. several hundred thousand miles of power lines connect thousands of electric generators. But whereas Europe and China, at a similar scale, have continental-scale grid development plans, the U.S. does not. Its grid is highly fragmented and consists of not one, but three separate power grids that are almost completely isolated from one another. It has twelve different transmission planning regions that must coordinate much better to cope … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Energy, Grids Tagged With: China, electricity, Europe, grids, planning, power, Transmission, US, weather

European gas prices have fallen sharply since August. What happens next?

November 10, 2022 by Simon Göss

Prices on the European gas market have fallen sharply since August 2022 and Europe’s gas storage facilities are almost full. That’s good news, but the problems aren’t over. Simon Göss at cr.hub, writing for Energy Brainpool, explains why by looking at the data. He runs through the main factors driving the changes, primarily strong LNG imports, Norway’s increased production, mild weather, and lower gas consumption (particularly in industry). … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Energy, Oil, Gas & Coal Tagged With: consumption, demand, EU, Europe, gas, Germany, imports, industry, LNG, Norway, prices, storage, weather, winter

Electricity market re-design should focus on the root cause of the crisis, Europe’s dependence on fossil fuels

September 12, 2022 by Bruce Douglas

Amidst the perfect storm of the pandemic, war in Ukraine, and extreme weather events, Bruce Douglas at Eurelectric urges us all not to lose focus on our decarbonisation targets. Energy savings, electrification and renewables are more important than ever to help reduce dependence on fossil fuels. Douglas explains that Europe’s electricity sector remains totally committed to the drive towards clean energy, citing examples. He summarises the … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Energy, Policies, Renewables Tagged With: decarbonisation, electricity, EU, Europe, fossils, gas, industry, markets, pandemic, renewables, Ukraine, weather

Next-gen Solar farms that work at night, in the rain, and self-clean

June 15, 2022 by Douglas Broom

With the worldwide roll-out of solar, raising the efficiency of energy conversion isn’t just about the materials science of PV cells. Douglas Broom, writing for the World Economic Forum, runs through three “add-on” innovations. Researchers have found a way to generate electricity in the dark as panels cool during the night. A low-cost thermoelectric generator works using the temperature difference between the cooling solar panels and the … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Energy, Innovations, Renewables Tagged With: cleaning, efficiency, night, raindrops, robots, solar, thermoelectric, triboelectric, weather

Imagine it’s 2030 and net-zero is on track. How did we do it?

January 18, 2022 by Tim Buckley

Imagine it’s 2030. The energy transition is on track and net-zero goals are entrenched across the global economy. How did we get there? Tim Buckley at IEEFA imagines it for us and sends us a postcard from the future. Writing in the past tense, he flags actual events and policies happening today to “remember” the major changes that took place to achieve it. Weather-related disasters compelled governments to act, recognising – apart from the … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Energy, Investment Tagged With: 2030, activism, carbon, disasters, Energy, finance, investment, litigation, price, weather

IEA WEO 2021 message to COP26: 40% of clean energy goals will cut costs

October 15, 2021 by Simon Evans

The IEA’s latest World Energy Outlook was published on Wednesday. This year’s WEO-2021 is released earlier than usual to inform COP26 and, for the first time, is available for free to ensure the widest possible audience. Simon Evans at Carbon Brief offers his summary of the 386-page report, quoting relevant numbers and charts. He first points to the new scenario, Net-Zero Emissions by 2050 (NZE), as the IEA’s recognition that this is what … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Energy, Energy Outlooks, Policies Tagged With: COP26, costs, efficiency, electrification, emissions, EVs, fossilfuels, IEA, infrastructure, innovation, jobs, JustTransition, markets, methane, NZE, scenarios, solar, weather, WEO2021, wind

Optimising Wind and Solar needs new ways of weather forecasting

January 27, 2021 by Hannah Bloomfield

Weather forecasters are used to – and very good at – predicting large-scale weather patterns and then inferring what the actual surface weather conditions will be, based on a database of past events. Hannah Bloomfield at the University of Reading explains how the creation of a database of site-specific wind and solar generation, as well as grid demand, can be used in the same way to more accurately predict the impact of the weather on these … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Energy, Renewables Tagged With: baseload, blackouts, forecasting, grids, prices, solar, VRE, weather, wind

Modelling total costs for Onshore Wind power plants: from site prep to grid connection

January 29, 2020 by NREL

The costs of wind turbines is dropping. But that means all the other capital costs - site preparation, foundations, infrastructure, tower construction – will become a bigger part of the total. In the U.S. they currently account for around 30% of the capital expenditures needed to install a land-based wind plant. To keep those costs under control the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) has created a comprehensive open-source modelling … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Energy, Renewables Tagged With: costs, grids, investment, OnshoreWind, renewables, turbines, weather, wind

Britain has shifted 30% of its electricity away from fossil fuels in just nine years

January 14, 2019 by Grant Wilson and Iain Staffell

Britain’s extraordinary energy transition is in part down to increased energy efficiency: put simply, less electricity was needed, whatever the source. But coal is still essential during spikes in demand. Given coal generation is due to be phased out by 2025, the country will need to find alternative power sources to cope during extreme weather events. And that overall decline in electricity demand is sure to be reversed as more vehicles and … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Climate policy, Energy, Energy efficiency, Nuclear, Oil, Gas & Coal, Policies, Renewables, Uncategorized Tagged With: biomass, Britain, coal, efficiency, electricity, gas, generation, hydro, Nuclear, renewables, solar, transition, UK, weather, wind

Most read this week

  • Financing Renewable Hydrogen globally: ramp up to 2030 only needs $150bn/year by Dolf Gielen | posted on May 26, 2023
  • Making Hydrogen direct from seawater using double-membrane electrolysis by David Krause | posted on May 24, 2023
  • Five charts on the Energy Transition: the 2020s is the decade of maximum disruption. By 2030 the endgame will be clear by Sam Butler-Sloss | posted on May 25, 2023
  • 10 Carbon Capture methods compared: costs, scalability, permanence, cleanness by Ella Adlen | posted on November 11, 2019
  • Understanding the new EU ETS (Part 2): Buildings, Road Transport, Fuels. And how the revenues will be spent by Simon Göss | posted on February 6, 2023
  • Do government renewable energy auctions squeeze the PPA market? by Michael Claußner | posted on March 12, 2021
  • Micro-nuclear reactors: up to 20MW, portable, safer by Christina Nunez | posted on April 22, 2021
  • Oil & Gas can meet 2030 net-zero target for only $600bn, quickly recouped. But it’s still not happening, warns IEA by IEA | posted on May 22, 2023
  • The history of evidence of CO2-driven climate change starts in the mid-1800s by Marc Hudson | posted on May 23, 2023
  • Gravity Batteries: any nation can do it at scale using rocks by Simon Read | posted on July 27, 2022
  • What’s best for Hydrogen transport: ammonia, liquid hydrogen, LOHC or pipelines? by Herib Blanco | posted on May 5, 2022
  • The 10 big problems with simply replacing fossil cars with electric by Schalk Cloete | posted on December 6, 2021
  • EU Energy Outlook to 2060: how will power prices and revenues develop for wind, solar, gas, hydrogen + more by Alex Schmitt | posted on December 6, 2022
  • Hydrogen production in 2050: how much water will 74EJ need? by Herib Blanco | posted on July 22, 2021
  • EU Carbon Removal Certification Framework: new rules to turn greenwashing into genuine removals by Simon Göss | posted on May 16, 2023
  • Enhanced Weathering: crushed rocks spread on farmland can capture billions of tons of CO2/year by Benjamin Houlton | posted on July 21, 2020
  • Why hydrogen fuel cell cars are not competitive — from a hydrogen fuel cell expert by Zachary Shahan | posted on June 17, 2016
  • Germany: will the end of feed-in tariffs mean the end of citizens-as-energy-producers by Isabel Sutton | posted on June 3, 2021
  • Modelling green Ammonia and Methanol in 2050. It will be expensive by Schalk Cloete | posted on September 9, 2022
  • Can Aluminium-air batteries outperform Li-ion for EVs? by Helena Uhde | posted on September 8, 2021

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      Recent Posts

      U.S. EPA: new rules proposed for cutting Fossil Fuel-Fired Power Plant emissions

      Financing Renewable Hydrogen globally: ramp up to 2030 only needs $150bn/year

      Five charts on the Energy Transition: the 2020s is the decade of maximum disruption. By 2030 the endgame will be clear

      Making Hydrogen direct from seawater using double-membrane electrolysis

      The history of evidence of CO2-driven climate change starts in the mid-1800s

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